This report brings out a research on economic performance by applying several macroeconomic indicators such as GDP, unemployment rate, and inflation rate. The analysis is based on ten years for economic performance. This report talks about the economic performance of Australia for last ten years. The whole analysis reflects the economic conditions of the country by analysing GDP, employment rate and the inflation rate.
Australia is a sovereign country that is surrounded by many islands. It is a developed country and is the world`s 13th largest economy with 10th highest per capita income. The country has world`s 9th largest immigration population (Scutt, 2018). It is a mixed economy with high per capita and low rate of poverty. In 2018, it is seen that in terms of wealth, it is ranked second in the world after Switzerland from 2013 till 2018 as slowly it started overtaking Switzerland with high average wealth (Scutt, 2018).
GDP (Gross domestic Product) of Australia is total market value of overall goods and services in a given time. GDP can be reported in two ways in either real terms or the current prices by using chain volume measures (Guardian, 2019). This indicates that measurement of production volumes is executed by removing the inflated prices. GDP is one of the important macroeconomic indicators, which are used to evaluate the health of the country. This report has undertaken the analysis of two important types of GDP. The types are nominal GDP, real GDP, and per capita GDP. Nominal GDP is measured on the basis of market prices (Guardian, 2019). This GDP includes all the changes in the market prices, which have occurred in the recent years due to either inflation or deflation. Real GDP is defined as considering the GDP of current year and taking market price of base year. Moreover, per capita GDP is calculated by dividing the country`s nominal GDP of the Australia by the exchange rate. This is a measure of country`s economic output which accounts for the number of people, which is calculated by dividing nation`s GDP by its total population. Considering these measures is important ad economy of the country is directly linked to production, consumption, distribution of goods and services (Guardian, 2019).
It is depicted from the research reports of economic growth of Australia that the country is majorly dominated by service sector (Parliament of Australia, 2019). In recent economic developments, it is seen that the economic success is based on mining, which is around 13.5 percent and agriculture is around 2 percent of total GDP because the country is the exporter of commodities (Scutt, 2018). From the graph given above, it can be interpreted that the annual growth of GDP has been fluctuating as in 2007 and 2011; it was around 3.7 and 3.9 percent. On the other hand, in 2008 and 2014, the annual GDP is decreasing (Guardian, 2019).
The above graph indicates that nominal GDP of Australia keep fluctuating. Moreover, according to CEIC, it is reported that the Nominal GDP growth of Australia is seen at 3.85 percent in 2018, which is more than 3.5 percent in 2017. The nominal calculation is updated quarterly which indicates that average of nominal GDP is 8.154 percent from 1960 to 2018 (Parliament of Australia, 2019). From the above given graph, it can be analysed that in 2007, the GDP is around 1.27 to 3 percent. In 2008, it lies between 2 to 3 percent. In 2009, the GDP shown in the above graph reflects that the country was not able to earn due to biggest US recession in the world. Slowly and steadily, Australia strived to retain its GDP again soon in 2010 (Countryeconomy, 2019). Again, in 2011 and 2016, the graph shows weaker contradiction and the reason can be that final consumption outlay where non-dwelling construction and net trade had a negative and negative effect. At last, it is important to analyse that the GDP of Australia lies between 2 to 3 percent and there is a need to pace up to reach to 5 to 6 percent (CEIC, 2019). The country is world’s 13th largest economy. The economic conditions of Australia is stable. The decrease in GDP is due to bad weather that have slowed down the housing investments and exports related to mining because of disrupted coal transportation (Statista 2018). The Australian economy is dependent on businesses such as agriculture, mining, and retailing. The country`s economy is driven by government spending on consumer sectors because it is suffering from low wage growth (CEIC, 2019).
Current unemployment rate plays an important role in representing the economic conditions of the country. High unemployment rate reflects that more people in the country either are unemployed or seasonally employed which means that they are not contributing to the development of the country. Whereas, on the other hand, low unemployment rate means that almost every person is contributing to the economy of country and that can be assets to the country. Unemployment rate in Australia was around 5.6 percent in 2017 that is very low. After viewing the report of Australian bureau of statistics, it can be said that 725 people of Australia are unemployed and the rate has been continuously falling. Moreover, ABS has interpreted that country has 1.1 million people unemployed in the country which reflects that major global trend for employment started relying on growth of wages. Moreover, the reducing unemployment rate is consequence of increase aging people in the country. Other reasons are climate issues such as great coral reef approximately 20 percent due to disaster bleaching situation. Australia is facing pollution, greenhouse effect, and harmful gas emissions that has forced the country to take several steps for developing the nuclear sector so that it can employ such technology, which will reduce the emission of greenhouse gases.
From the above picture, it can said that the country has improved its employment rate but the pace of developing is slow. In 2009, it was 10.8 percent and it reached to 12.7 percent in 2019 that does not reflect an effective increase in the employment rate. Australia keep adjusting its unemployment rate lower to 5 percent at the end of 2018. The average rate of unemployment of Australia is nearly 6.85 percent till 2018. In recent years, employment rose from 21.6 thousand to 12.7 million. Whereas, in 2018 December, it was partly led by declining dull-time employment.
Inflation is a quantitative quota of rate on which the ordinary the price level of certain goods and services in the economic condition over a period of time. Inflation reflects the decrease in the purchasing power of the country’s currency. As the price increases, they affects the wide-ranging cost of living. Whereas, on the other hand, deflation reflects decline in price of goods and services when the rate of inflation is below zero percent (TRADING ECONOMICS, 2019).
As per the bureau of statistics for consumer price index, it is seen that the prices in 2018 are 20.56 percent more than in 2009. Moreover, the Australian dollar has experienced the average inflation of 2.10 percent each year from 2009 to 2019. In addition to this, in 2009, the purchasing power of the customers is equal to AUD $120.56 and when it was reviewed in 2018, there was a difference of AUD $20.56 percent (CPI inflation calculator, 2019).
The rate of inflation in 2009 was 1.74 percent whereas; it was reduced to 1.26 percent in 2018. The average rate of inflation was 1.90 percent each year between 2018 and 2019. While analysing the consumer price inflation of last quarters of 2018, it is seen that it has edged down to 1.8 percent year after year from the 1.9 percent in the same quarter, which was again more than market expectation, which was 1.7 percent (CPI inflation calculator, 2019). This percent was the lowest inflation since the last quarters of 2017 due to slowdown of use of transport. The cost of transportation increased by 2.8 percent, which has decreased the gain especially automotive fuels. Other reason was increase in the prices of food and non-alcoholic beverages that increased 1.5 percent inflation (TRADING ECONOMICS, 2019). On the basis of quarters, consumer prices paced up to 0.5 percent after 0.4 percent rise in September. As far as the overall inflation is evaluated, it is seen that the rate of inflation in Australia is almost averaged between 5 percent from 1951 to 2018. The most significant changes in the prices of goods was increase in tobacco (9.4 percent), new dwelling purchase by the own-occupiers (0.4 percent). Moreover, other significant decline in the prices were to the automobile fuel (nearly -2.5 percent), wine (approx. -1.9 percent), computing equipment (-3.3 percent), and telecommunication services and equipment (for -1.5 percent) (TRADING ECONOMICS, 2019).
The country has adopted numerous policy in response to youth unemployment over the last few years. Things such as encouraging and motivating them to stay in school after 16 age, which has tightened the eligible conditions for income support. Active labour market programme is one of the most common policy made by Australian government. Some of recent government steps have improved the youth employment measures (Gregory, and Smith, 2016). It is very clear that whether the government`s central youth program will be able to address the issues of unemployment or not. Therefore, with the help of youth jobs PaTH program, it will get sufficient support from the employers to provide assistance to seek job so that a meaningful result can be produced (Gregory, and Smith, 2016).
The main aim of Australian government is to keep the consumer inflation rate between 2 to 3 percent. This is most suitable measure of inflation because it releases price changes for both goods and services which household purchase. The federal government aims to lower the inflation rate, as it will improve the living standards. Two types of economic policies, which are used to track the goal of low inflation-
Aggregate demand policies will be used to regulate the demand inflation
Aggregate supply will be used to monitor and control the cost inflation
The country maintains a monetary policy that includes RBA decisions regarding the changes in the interest rates which is a way of influencing the level of national spending or aggregate demand. Moreover, Contractionary monetary policy use high interest rates which a bank need to pay on the savings or its charge on credit (Gregory, and Smith, 2016). The country uses contractionary budgetary policy that involves high tax rates that reduces the government outlays. The government uses aggregate supply policies to reduce the cost of inflation such this inflation pressure increase the production costs where the government uses microeconomic and aggregate supply side policies. It will help the country to produce more output with few resources. Australia`s centralised structure that resulted to set minimum wages that has led to higher and rapid rise in labour costs which has caused inflation. During 1991, the government had undertaken labour market reform that introduced enterprise bargaining and the workplace negotiation between the employees and the boss (economics down under, 2018).
Conclusion
From the above discussion on the economic conditions of Australia, it can be interpreted that the country is trying hard to improve its economic condition with the help of improvement in several factors affecting the economy such as employment rate, GDP, and the inflation rate. From the above evaluation, it can be said that country was largely stuck by the recession in 1990 but it has recovered very soon. There is strong need to promote more employment initiates to increase the asset base of the country that belongs to people.
References
CEIC, (2019). Australia Nominal GDP Growth. Retrieved from: https://www.ceicdata.com/en/indicator/australia/nominal-gdp-growth
Countryeconomy, (2019). Australia GDP – Gross Domestic Product. Retrieved from: https://countryeconomy.com/gdp/australia
CPI inflation calculator, (2019). Australian Inflation Rate, AU$100 in 2009 to 2018. Retrieved from: https://www.in2013dollars.com/2009-AUD-in-2018
economics down under, (2018). australia’s infl ation as a contemporary economic issue. Retrieved from: https://www.wiley.com/legacy/Australia/PageProofs/ECODU/1_2/c03AustraliasInflationAsAContemporaryEconomicIssue_WEB.pdf
Gregory, R.G. and Smith, R.E. (2016). 15 Unemployment, Inflation and Job Creation Policies in Australia. Inflation and Unemployment: Theory, Experience and Policy Making, 325.
Guardian, (2019). Australia’s GDP growth slows to 2.8% as weaker spending hits economy. Retrieved from: https://www.theguardian.com/business/2018/dec/05/australias-economic-growth-slows-to-28-as-weaker-spending-hits
Miller, T., Kim, A.B. and Holmes, K.R. (2015). 2015 Index of economic Freedom. Washington DC: The Heritage Foundation.
Parliament of Australia, (2019). Gross domestic product. Retrieved from: https://www.aph.gov.au/About_Parliament/Parliamentary_Departments/Parliamentary_Library/pubs/MSB/feature/FeatureGDP
Scutt, D. (2018). The early signs are looking good for Australian GDP. Retrieved from: https://www.businessinsider.com.au/australia-economic-growth-q1-gdp-trade-2018-2018-5
Statista (2018) Australia: Real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate from 2012 to 2022* (compared to the previous year). Retrieved from: https://www.statista.com/statistics/263602/gross-domestic-product-gdp-growth-rate-in-australia/
Sutcliffe, J.E. and Dhakal, S.P. (2018) Youth unemployment amidst aged care workers shortages in Australia: Why care about the millennials?. Equality, Diversity and Inclusion: An International Journal, 37(2), pp.182-198.
TRADING ECONOMICS, (2019). Australia Inflation Rate. Retrieved from: https://tradingeconomics.com/australia/inflation-cpi
TRADING ECONOMICS, (2019). Australia unemployment rate. Retrieved from: https://tradingeconomics.com/australia/unemployment-rate
Tradingeconomics, (2019). Australia GDP Annual Growth Rate. Retrieved from: https://tradingeconomics.com/australia/gdp-growth-annual
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