The historic Referendum on 23 June 2016 when Britain voted to leave the European Union has led to fall in Price of pound. There are certain Skeptics who believe that there will be a drop in the overall business. Some considered it as UK’s biggest mistake that will have multiple effects on the trade. Since there will be no free trade in between UK and European Union the cost of supply of goods will increase. The result of the UK referendum on the membership of the European Union will shape the future of the country in forming the trade relationship with others (Anderson, Juden and Rogerson, 2016). The country’s membership with the European Union has helped in reducing the cost of trade in between the countries. The UK export business in this situation will take a hit due to higher cost and tariffs. The country will witness a huge impact on the supply chain as well. There was a custom deal in between the countries who were the participants of European Union by allowing them to trade without a barrier. The European Union has let free movement of goods in between the countries for a long time (Staal, 2016). The reducing trade cost has caused reduction in the non-tariff barriers resulting from the European Union include a wide range of measures that has affected the cost of trade which include border tariff, origin check and cross country regulation check(Lea, 2016). This has helped the country in managing regulations over things like product standard and safety and threats to anti dumping. The reduction in the trade barrier has however increased trade in between the UK and the European Union (Baker et al 2016). Before 1973 one third of the UK trade was with the EEC. According to data revealed in 2014, 27 other EU members have accounted 45 percent of the UK export. The European Union export comprises of 13 percent of the total national income (Begg, 2016; Springford, 2013). There were higher trade benefits for the consumers through lower prices. The local UK workers and businesses were getting benefit from the new export opportunities which helped in high sale. This has allowed UK to seek advantage from the industry in which they are having specialization. This has helped in raising the living standard of the public on a large scale (Bouoiyour and Selmi, 2016). These channels helped in developing the trade channels on the long run. This static effect on the trade can be seen in the course of development taking place in UK. This has however helped in developing the route in order to promote higher productivity and innovation. It is very difficult for an individual to make an estimate regarding the future consequences regarding an event. The report shows the static trade consequences on the small business and assumes the fact that will affect the future of the country. It is estimated that by reducing the trade relation with the European Union, UK will consequently be affected (Bouoiyour and Selmi, 2016). The fall in the per capita income will be resulted from lower trade relations. The effect of Brexit will be equivalent to the fall in UK income. The effect of Brexit on the fall in income can be seen in between 1.3 percent and 2.6 percent.
As per the record there were 5.5 million private sector businesses at the beginning of the 2016. Since 2015 there is been an increase of 97,000 and 2 million since 2000. The number of business employing has increased by 14,000 and the number of sole trade has increased by 84,000 with an annual growth of 3 percent. The small business accounted to 99.3 percent of the total business at the beginning of 2016. It is also important to notice that the annual turnover of SME was £1.8 trillion which is 47% of all private sector turnovers in the UK. There were 5.2 million SMEs in the UK in 2014. The vast number of businesses in UK employs fewer employees and contributing a huge amount towards the GDP. The Government plan for growth published with the budget in 2011 has showcased particular benefits for the small business (Lea, 2017). The government has however decided to minimize the burden by introducing exemption for starting a new business. Moreover they are making it easy for the small business to access the finance facilities. They have even facilitated public sector procurement by removing the pre qualification questionnaire for the contract below £100,000. All this has however helped in improving the current condition in relation with the trade practice conducted by the small traders (Steinberg, 2017).
One of the things that have recently affected the whole world is the UK decision to exit European Union. Many people across the globe have different kind of reaction on the decision taken by UK. However it has a major impact on the business around the globe. The business world around us under the dilemma whether the decision is in complete favor or not. Much global business especially those in US are getting affected due to the decision of Britain to leave EU(Lea, 2016).
The Brexit has a far reaching impact on the economy, employment law and funding. The EU has a long lasting impact on the employment legislation in the UK. These wide reaching trade policies are creating red tape for the employers. Brexit could remove many regulations pertaining to employment and immigration policies. This is also argued on the ground that this will allow government to decide which regulation need to be repealed and which one is to be considered. In 2104 there were 3 million people living in the UK who were the citizen of the other EU nation. Out of them 80 percent were in direct employment in UK and their status in the current context. It is believed that many of the people have faced consequences that are caused due disruption in the migration policies (Raddant, 2016). This will however impact the SME who are employing a large number of citizens who belong to the European Union. It is expected that the country will face a major issue due to consistent pressure from the exit from the European Union. It has however received mixed reviews. Moreover this is becoming one of the most questioned policies that have been affecting the trade relations. The future trade relation of the country are however getting affected due to the current impact caused due to the Brexit (Dhingra, Ottaviano, Sampson and Van Reenen, 2016).
Most of the small traders are getting fund from the local retail banks located in UK which means that Brexit won’t have much impact on the small business in term of funding. The European Union funding will no longer be made available in case of the exit from Brexit. Brexit has however affected the economy where the UK borrowers have to pay a higher price for the credit. A report has stated that leaving the Brexit will create less credit for SME in UK. It has however reduced value of the pound will create inflation and unemployment in the country (Pay.2017).
There are likely to be changes in the manner the companies are conducting business practice. In coming years the country will witness the impact of Brexit on the small traders. Small businesses that are doing business internationally will suffer from the decision. The only immediate impact would be on the exchange rate. There is no need to panic or over-react for the current situation created in the business environment. The new rules and regulations will be re-written and this will be cause creation of new contractual agreements in between the parties. The international business in the European Union will be getting affected in near future (Ottaviano, Pessoa, Sampson and Van Reenen, 2014). There will be a necessity to develop a new contract in between the countries. As of now they can deal freely but due to current circumstance they will have to follow the regulations as specified by the government. The restricted trade policies will have a short term impact on the buyer and the seller. However the system will regularize taxes which were previously not being levied on them. Now they are subject to follow the new structure of taxation. Taxes will be levied at each stage while exporting goods outside UK. Previously the goods which were exempted by the government will be subjected to payment of taxation (Dhingra, Ottaviano and Sampson, 2015).
The Brexit vote has created a long term uncertainty and has caused disruption in performance of the duty. Small business owners are actually viewing the situation as a tool that will affect the current business situation. Business generally fails to operate at the time when there are uncertainties. Similar in the case of small business there will be slight shift in the manner in which the business is being operated by them. Many small business owners are feeling vulnerable at this point of time. There are certain things that are uncertain in the current scenario. Provisions related to the business are still not clear which is creating a temporary turbulence (Oliver, 2016).
Certain part of Europe & Asia is witnessing a negative interest rate. The United State is witnessing the flow of money from the European countries. It is due to the fact that the risk is relatively very high and the interest rate is very low. In case of United Kingdom there will be tremendous inflation which will probably hit the business organization. Brexit will probably affect the acquisition cost of the business. Intelligent business owner doesn’t make decisions based on the assumptions or the conservative approach. They are making the plan looking at the future requirements. In case of small business the cost per acquisition has increased. If the business is already struggling then the condition can be detrimental.
The leave campaign has been argued on the ground that business will now have their trade agreement. The UK is permitted to take own decisions based on the law established by the government. The free trade agreement doesn’t occur overnight. The uncertainty in the mind of the entrepreneurs is obvious which may cause loss of faith. There is still necessity to seek clarification regarding the issues that are caused from the separation. However some people are having positive hope regarding the change. There is a possibility where people will be seeking support from the potential consumers. The small business personnel feel the positivity from the decisions as this will benefit them. They are currently focusing on deregulation of the programme and promote a group support which will help in enhancing overall productivity. For some of the People quitting Brexit is a significant decision as this will support the local who possess skills. In the period of uncertainty all the small business can seek flexibility. This will help them to produce efficient goods. The demand for the skilled labor will increase in near future and the referendum will affect the small businessman. In case if the regulations regarding the immigrations are tighten up it will affect the small business on a long run (O’Brien,2017). Priorities will be given to the new trade arrangement ensuring flexibility. It is seen that the companies will be witnessing a growth in the overall productivity structure. The impact of Brexit will be sizeable and for a long term. Manufactures who are exporting to Europe will see a huge impact from the current situation. The single market gives them an access to over 500 million customers. This will give them an ease to do business without any trade traffic. Small entrepreneurs dealing in terms of technology business will enjoy an international perspective. They will have an easy access to the talent across the whole market(O’Dwyer,2017).
There will be an increase in the interest rate as of now the borrowers have to be dependent on the local lenders. They will be charging more interest. The falling price of pound has a long lasting impact on the economy. This will create a situation of inflation in the country. Banks in return will increase the rate of interest causing a negative equity for the property owner. A decrease in the value of the property is a matter of great concern for the country. The market has reacted badly for the situation which has caused an uncertainty. In the diverge condition the small traders are the one who are unable to understand the situation. Some of the people believe that this has assorted term impact whereas other thinks that this will have a long term impact on their business. It is believed that the economy of UK is temporary being resilient and the real economy will adjust in future. The small business will equip themselves according to the situations. Time will only allow managing the situation according to the changing atmosphere. It is stated that the entrepreneur need to be optimistic about the situation while considering on the macro economic data. The true entrepreneur will make the best out of the current situation. They will try to stimulate the market by managing the data in a careful manner (Coyle, 2016).
The impact on the small business from the GDP is wide ranging because they are considered to be the lifeblood of the UK economy. The falling GDP will have a large impact on the small business in terms of overall business activities. The .5 percent growth was mainly due growth in the service industry which grew to.8 percent. This is been interesting as manufacturing industry has been capturing the headlines due to weaker pound. It is known that the weaker rate of Pound has not caused any kind of impact on the manufacturing industry. Small business has more susceptible to shocks that might happen or the small business (Carbajo, 2016). When compared with a large size firm a small business will struggle to easily call on big investments or bank loan. Falling GDP has depicted that the smaller business have to struggle in order to float in case if they are importing from oversea. This wills however put a positive impact on t he exporter as depicted by the GDP data. Small business will now have to be localizing as now they have to do business in the limited region. There are certain businesses that depend upon the international organization or a business for meeting requirements. In such a situation they have to concentrate on the local resources in order to meet the purpose. It is generally been taken as an opportunity that is been undertaken in order to manage the current and future situation. Overall the small business organizations have welcomed a growth of 0.5 percent (Busch and Matthes, 2016). Economy does not fall apart over nightly. It is however necessary to implement a systematic plan so that economy can grow rapidly. The UK economy mostly depends upon the small business. In the current scenario it has become necessary to figure out the problems that are caused due to the falling economy. Confidence of people is however getting affected and much business survey are being getting affected due to the current decision. For now business are being dealing with the situation where they have to get out of the problem in a systematic manner (Bowler, 2017).
Apart from the initial fall in the price of the pound and a continuous uncertainty Brexit has affected majority of businesses. On a survey carried on 1300 national companies it was concluded that 50 pc said that Brexit has no effect on them. Out of which 30 percent stated that Brexit has affected their business. Out of which 15pc said that Brexit has a positive impact on their business. The mixed feelings as stated by the small business owner have stated that Brexit has a positive influence on them. The decision of Britain to exit EU has a positive impact in carrying trade activities (The consequences of a Brexit for small companies.2015). They are more confident about the business activity they are been doing. The impact of Brexit is difficult to be understood in current context. By looking at the present scenario it is necessary for the local businessman to invest strategically. Investing strategically in the business will help in undertaking the effective measures (Davis.2016). As per the National Association of commercial finance brokers there has been increase in the mortgage inquiries since referendum (Watson, 2017). It is a good measurement tool for the small business in order to manage the long-term financial appetite. Uncertainty in the market does not disrupt the business but creates more opportunities. The business man needs to take strategic decision that need to be done in an effective manner. The small business need to take opportunities growing in the current scenario. It is stated that all the business are facing a temporary transition in the current period (Dhingra and Sampson,2016). This can only be removed if proper measures are being taken by them in order to organize the situation. This is a temporary situation causing a disruption in meeting the current targets. It is further more necessary to promote effective growth which is only possible if the organization patiently frames all its policies. Some of the most successful companies of the world were developed after the 2008 financial crises. This was held for jumping on changes in the consumer habit and implementing the adapting process as the business develops. It was forecasted by the Hampshire Trust Bank that SME will contribute £217bn to the UK economy by 2020 (Hatzigeorgiou and Lodefalk, 2016). They are expected to give sizeable growth to the fortune of UK. It is believed that the small business will grew by 27 pc of the total contribution made by 2020. A strong future growth is expected which suggests that the investors will be making huge investment in the current situation. This will give a rise to the growing business opportunities. The effects of Brexit will be seen in the different sectors as Albion Ventures surveyed 1,014 businesses. It was found that manufacturing is considered to be the most optimistic sector in the current market scenario. As per the research, the IT sector shares the market by 65 pc. Retail goes with 54 pc whereas the construction workers go with less than 48 pc. The small business is relieved from the red tapism which was the reason that affected the business post Brexit. It is a difficult time for that businessman who is dependent on the free market on foreign workers it is a very difficult time. They will consequently face the issues that are caused due to current market situation. If Article 50 is being triggered it will take another 2 years to develop a new trade relationship. The discussion related to cover import and export will cause a procedures for UK workers and companies in the European Union. The innovation and skills estimate as an effective parameter in order to manage the supply chain (Wadsworth, Dhingra, , Ottaviano, and Reenen.2016). At certain situation the new buyers are afraid of committing due to long term uncertainties. They know that there is an unstable situation in the market and it is difficult to manage the situation under such business environment. Some of the small business believes that the export has grown up by 40 pc. There is an increase in the export. The value of pound decreased causing a change in the attitude. There are some new buyers who are uncertain regarding the changes happening in the market. The small business need to speak up in order to seek the business opportunities occurring. This will ensure a high negotiation power in order to understand the current market condition. The statistics indicate that more people have started the business practices alone as this has helped them to undertake the business opportunities (Driffield and Karoglou, 2016). There is a five percent growth in the micro business. A report stated that more business was set up in the 100 days time-period after the referendum. This is considered to be a new wave in the small business by creating lot many business opportunities. There is a change in focus for the big companies that have given an opportunity to develop their own strategies (Hunt and Wheeler,2016). The UK is seeing an entrepreneurial culture where many people are participating in the business activities. It is moreover necessary for a business organization to develop activities as per the business environment. The UK Entrepreneurial culture has depicted that country will see a sustainable growth(Dhingra, Ottaviano, Sampson and Van Reenen, 2016).
The full effect of Brexit has not yet hit the economy there is uncertainty round the corner causing difficulty in managing the issues. The growth is expected to continue in the current time-period. But uncertainty is a part of the current economy. The small business owner is having trust upon the government to protect their rights from external threats.
Regardless of what will be happening in the future very small business are likely to cause an unexpected cutbacks in the first month. There will be a consistent recruitment of the skill employees at the local level. The transition effect on the economy will be taken in a positive manner where the decision related to hiring will be taken in a pragmatic manner. It will be wonderful for the small size firm to undertake the opportunities in a positive manner. Many of the local business owners will be see a drastic change in the approach (Gros, 2016). More of focus is required to pay attention on the incomes. In case of the broken relationship with EU it is seen that the small sized firms need to find out new market. The small business needs to develop focus on the primary industry which is necessary for growth. It is however essential for an organization to develop effective policies in order to develop concrete strategies. Continuous currency fluctuation will affect the small sized business are economist believes that there will be downgraded credit rating and slow GDP and inflation (Issac.2016). There is a necessity to develop concrete market opportunities in order to attain confidence of people. The government has to develop concrete policies so that they can further seek the confidence of the local small traders. Economic outlook is related to prepping up for the uncertainties that were caused month after the 2008 economic crises. Preparation, confidence and adaptability are necessary for the entrepreneurs to support the current mechanism (Lawless and Morgenroth, 2016; Tilford, 2015). There is a necessity to focus on the key factors that might affect the decision that are related with the current scenario. It is an opportunity for the leaders to respond efficiently in the present situation. This will help them to efficiently undertake the situation. They need to find out the effective way in which the work could be managed by the business organizers so that the efficiency can be gained. This is the time when the small business can actually develop them. There is an opportunity with the small business to form effective business relationships considering the present scenario. This is the vital point for the business to follow the path by mixing the effective values that will help in managing effective results. There is an opportunity to jump into different market. This will however help the business to understand the situation more efficiently. The current conditions will create new opportunities and hence cues a huge impact on the overall business atmosphere (Lea, 2016). These business opportunities will increase competition which will lead to diverse opportunities. Executing the transition is necessary in the current situation that represents a potential increase in the role of market. Though, it is hardly an effectual climate for the business organization to manage the overall productivity by utilizing the current market climate. Many great businesses were developed during the tough time. It is truly about overcoming the problems by developing concrete policies. It is now the duty of the policy makers to deliver the duties by encouraging small business to grow in an effective manner. Some aspects are easy to analyze and to provide a view to others in order to understand the law. It is crucial for a business to find out the effective way through which the matter pertaining to Brexit can be understood. Overtime Brexit might leads to imposition of taxes so there is a need to imply effective contractual relationship so that business can earn the long term result is the contract are being implemented in an effective manner(THE ECONOMIC IMPACT OF ‘BREXIT’.2017). At present there is a need to manage the resources so that the effective growth can be attained. In the long term it is necessary for a business organization to find out the most appropriate manner through which the result can be guaranteed. Brexit has however affected the economy where the UK borrowers have to pay a higher price for the credit. The uncertainty due to the kind of deal the UK is receiving and the greater amount of likelihood that it will deal in future in order to avoid the situation. The weakness of Pound has its own challenges that have affected the overall business. As an importer a weak pound is bad for the economy. Hence selling goods oversea has become cheaper and on the other side buying goods from oversea has become more expensive (The Potential Impact of Brexit on UK Businesses.2017). A weak pound may cause inflation which will directly increase the price of goods in the country. This will have a huge impact on the small business where they will be simply get affected due to the inflation in the market. If case if the prices of the goods increase the consumer will likely to spend less money on the goods. Many large sized businesses are likely to fix their currency on the forward contract. This has allowed them to plan their contracts on the basis of future weakness. It is important to understand that the business and consumer requires certainty which is only possible if the business is developed more efficiently. There is a necessity to do concrete planning in order to attain full benefit. The reducing trade cost has caused reduction in the non-tariff barriers resulting from the European Union include a wide range of measures that has affected the cost of trade which include border tariff, origin check and cross country regulation check(The Impact of Brexit on Small Businesses.2017).
Conclusion
The recent data related to the GDP of UK is out and consequently it is reported that the UK economy is growing @ 0.2 percent higher than what was expected. The overall figure of0.5 percent however represents a decline in the UK’s current rate of growth. It is still at a preliminary stage to draw a long-term inference. Small business should therefore welcome the news in order to undertake the full effect of the change in the economic pattern. This will be giving an opportunity to diversify in the new market. Although the falling price of pound is the bad news for the business importing goods. Now is the time when the small business needs too open dialog with the other organizations there is a necessity to develop forward contract that will allow the business to balance out the currency rate in the current scenario. It is believed that Brexit is not only having negative impacts but it is at an initial stage where it is too early to make a decision regarding it. An economy doesn’t stop doing business overnight and it usually takes time to develop effective relationship in order to take full advantage from the current situation. The long term impact of severing ties with the UK’s biggest trading partner will however put a long term impact on the small business. In 2017 and beyond there will be many hurdles that will have both short and long term impact. Small business should take time to frame effective policies so that they can cope up with the current market situation. It is expected that the country will face a major issue due to consistent pressure from the exit from the European Union. However the system will regularize taxes which were previously not being levied on them. Now they are subject to follow the new structure of taxation. Taxes will be levied at each stage while exporting goods outside UK. There is a necessity to review the policies that are established in correlation with the current UK economy. It is the matter of fact the country will see a growth and an increase in the trade alliances. This is due to the fact that country needs to embrace the changes occurring in the surrounding. The countrymen need to give time to the economy to settle down. It is too early for an individual to judge the changes occurring in the economy. More precisely it is essential for an individual to understand the current conditions that has altered things temporarily. There will be a necessity to develop a new contract in between the countries. As of now they can deal freely but due to current circumstance they will have to follow the regulations as specified by the government. It is understood that the economy will take time to manage uncertainties occurring in the atmosphere. The overall purpose is to develop an atmosphere that helps in promoting concrete planning which will help in managing changes in near future.
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