In the present world, business statistics is the tool and science behind the critical decision making (often limited to uncertainty) for a number of different business disciplines such as for marketing research, production and service optimization, econometrics, financial analysis, etc. In our research field, the use of various descriptive and inferential statistical techniques on the bulk of information (primary or secondary data) of customers can immensely help a financial advisor or a financial institution to identify and understand the investment preferences of their customers (potential investors), so as to provide appropriate financial advices to a customer specific to his/her requirements.
The main aim of this statistical report is to identify similar customers’ preferences and any other significant relationships between different data variables for the investor data test of XYZ Investment Advisors. In line with this, a randomly sampled dataset containing the recorded observations for 100 investors was used for our research analysis. It is assumed that the sample dataset is unbiased and is also the true representation of the actual investor population.
Fundamentally, there are several techniques of collecting data for a research study, that is, through observational or experimental studies, interviews, paid market surveys, etc. The XYZ investor data is obtained through an observational study and records observations for 40,000 investors on a number of numerical and categorical variables, including their demographic characteristics, personal information and other investment related data (discussed in the summary table on the following page).
The sampled data on 100 investors will be used to present a simple bivariate analysis that identifies significant relationship, if any, between the categorical variable ‘Gender’ and the numerical variable ‘Invested Amount’. Further, the variable ‘return per $1000 investment’ is analysed by computing a 90% confidence interval estimate for the mean return and also performing a hypothesis test to check the validity of the claim that this mean annual return (per $1000) is above $30.
The following table defines the name, type and measure of different variables in the XYZ investor dataset:
Variable |
Type |
Measures/Records |
Income |
Numerical |
Annual income of the investor (in $). |
Amount invested |
Numerical |
Amount invested by the investor (in $). |
Return (per $1000) |
Numerical |
Return on per $1000 investment (in $). |
Investment type |
Categorical |
‘High risk’ or ‘Low risk’ investment. |
Fees paid |
Numerical |
Fees paid to the XYZ company (in $). |
Fees too high |
Categorical |
Investor believes fees paid is ‘Too high’ or ‘Not too high’. |
Gender |
Categorical |
Gender of the investor: ‘Male’ or ‘Female’. This variable is critical to the study as to identify and understand the investment differences and choices of male and female investors. |
Age |
Numerical |
Age of the investor (in years). |
Age group |
Categorical |
Age category: ‘aged above 50’ or ‘aged 50 or below’. Critical to the study as it helps to identify and understand the investment differences and choices of adult and young investors. |
Married |
Categorical |
Investor is ‘Married’ or ‘Unmarried’. |
Number of children |
Numerical |
Number of children investor has. |
Have children |
Categorical |
Investor ‘has children’ or ‘no children’. Critical to the study as it helps to identify and understand the investment differences and choices of investors having children and not having children. |
Country |
Categorical |
Investor belongs to ‘country1’ or ‘country2’. Critical to the study as it helps to identify and understand the investment differences and choices of investors from different countries. |
According to Hitchings (2017), females are not making equal level of investments as males are, and are therefore, held back from future returns and other competent opportunities. The articles also explains that why it is likely that women invest lesser to a man reasoning to their financial risk-taking abilities.
In line with this, the later section of this report will perform a hypothesis test on our sample dataset to determine if the mean amount invested by male and female investors is actually (or rather significantly) different from each other.
Based on the sampled XYZ investor data for 100 investors, this section of the report presents and discusses the results of a simple bivariate analysis performed to identify a relationship, if any, between the categorical variable ‘Gender’ and the numerical variable ‘Amount Invested (in $)’.
Summary Outputs (computations were done in MS-Excel)
Gender |
Count |
Total amount invested (in $) |
Average amount invested (in $) |
StdDev of amount invested (in $) |
Female |
47 |
6539068 |
139129.11 |
66930.63 |
Male |
53 |
9912248 |
187023.55 |
87109.50 |
Grand Total |
100 |
16451316 |
164513.16 |
81512.62 |
Comments
Amount Invested (in $) |
Females_Frequency |
Males_Frequency |
20000 to less than 70000 |
10 |
3 |
70000-<120000 |
6 |
8 |
120000-<170000 |
10 |
16 |
170000-<220000 |
18 |
10 |
220000-<270000 |
3 |
6 |
270000-<320000 |
0 |
6 |
320000-<370000 |
0 |
1 |
370000 and over |
0 |
3 |
Comments
t-Test: Two-Sample Assuming Equal Variances |
||
Female_amount invested |
Male_amount invested |
|
Mean |
139129.11 |
187023.55 |
Variance |
4479709499 |
7588064324 |
Observations |
47 |
53 |
Pooled Variance |
6129040630 |
|
Hypothesized Mean Difference |
0 |
|
df |
98 |
|
t Stat |
-3.0533 |
|
P(T<=t) one-tail |
0.0015 |
|
t Critical one-tail |
1.6606 |
|
P(T<=t) two-tail |
0.0029 |
|
t Critical two-tail |
1.9845 |
The hypotheses are stated as:
Null hypothesis
Alternative hypothesis
Here, are the hypothesized population means of amount invested by male and female investors, respectively. The null hypothesis is rejected if the populations means of two groups are significantly different from each other (at a significance level of ). To test the hypothesis, a two-tailed (non-directional) two-sample independent -test is used (assuming equal variances for both the groups).
Comments
Section 4: Investigating and Analysing the variable ‘return per $1000’
Note: The following computations are performed manually (in the report) and using appropriate Excel functions (in the Excel file).
The table below represents the summary statistics obtained for the variable “Return per $1000” data for a sample of 100 investors:
Annual Return (in $ per $1000) |
|
Sample Standard Deviation, |
15.8187 |
Sample Mean, |
40.15 |
Sample Size, |
100 |
Therefore,
90% Confidence Interval
Degrees of freedom
For a 90% confidence level, and -value is computed as 1.6604 (using technology: an online calculator)
Also, 90% CI Margin of Error,
Thus, the 90% confidence interval estimate for mean annual return per $1000 investment can be obtained as:
Lower limit
Upper limit
Hypothesis Testing
Significance level = 5% (assumed), that is,
It is required to determine if the average annual return per $1000 investment is above $30. For this purpose, a right-tailed (directional) -test is performed at a significance level of 5%.
Note: -statistic is used instead of -statistic as the population standard deviation is unknown. It is further assumed that the variable ‘return per $1000’ data is approximately having a normal distribution.
The hypotheses are stated as:
Null hypothesis
Alternative hypothesis
Here, is the hypothesized mean annual return investment per $1000 for the investor population. The appropriate test statistic is computed as:
Substituting values gives:
Degrees of freedom
Using a -table, the corresponding right-tailed -value is obtained as
Since the -value, the null hypothesis can be rejected, thus concluding that there is sufficient evidence (at a significance level of 0.05) to claim that the average return per $1000 investment is above $30.
Based on the above analysis and results, it can be concluded that, on average, female are investing less than males. Fundamentally, this difference can be subjected to poor risk-taking abilities of female investors, not because the inability to do so, but likely because women are more secured with their finances than males are. Moreover, female investors prefer to invest in safer options like ‘property/asset building’, saving accounts’, ‘government bonds’ etc. It is also that, in general, the financial goals of male and female investors differ significantly.
However, the investment gap also can be highly influenced by people’s own perception of investing and confidence. And therefore, there is a possibility (though, not very likely) that the above conclusion is wrong. The error in the output results can be due to a number of factors (survey bias, inappropriate sampling, wrong target population, etc.), that would have made the sampled data inappropriate to the research study in concern.
The main aim of this report was to identify any significant relationships or differences between different data variables for the investor data test of XYZ Investment Advisors; in order to better understand the investment preferences of associated investors (customers). Based on the above analyses and results, following conclusions are made:
The research can further be advanced to investment differences between age groups specific to the gender of the investor. Adding this factor to the analyses will help us draw more accurate inferences about particular segments of the investor’s population.
References
Hitchings, C. (2017). Invest like a woman: the gender investment gap in the UK. Momentum UK. Retrieved 1 June 2017, from https://www.momentum.co.uk/features/invest-like-a-woman-the-gender-investment-gap-in-the-uk/
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