Discuss about the Importance Of Financial Ratios In Predict Stock Price.
Bega Cheese is the Australian Dairy company that is based in Bega of New South Wales of Australia. The company was initially established as the agricultural cooperative company in the year 1989 that was owned by the dairy suppliers and it became the public company during the year 2011. Major business of the company includes core dairy products like powdered milk and cream cheese and various nutritional products produced under the brand name of Bega Bionutrients like Lactoferrin and milk protein concentrate. Through collected resources from more than 100 dairy firms of Bega Valley the company is able to distribute and produce cheese products that are of high quality and distribute it to more than 50 countries all over the world. Driving the challenges, embracing the challenges and building towards future is the mission statement of the company (Bega Cheese 2018).
Out of the total revenue of the company approximately 27% of the revenues are generated from these sources. The company has 25% holding for Capital Chilled Foods along with the multinational company Lion that has the controlling interest. Further, approximately half of the revenue of the company comes from the products related to processed cheese and retail cheese. The company holds near about 15.70% of the entire Australian cheese market. The company exports its product along with other retail business like Royal Victoria, Melbourne, Dairymont and Tatura (Bega Cheese 2018).
The company is included in the cheese manufacturing industry and for last 5 years the industry is struggling due to varying demand in the export market. However, the positive trend is supported by the increasing interest of the investors in the cheese manufacturing industry. The major competitors of Bega Cheese Limited are Fonterra Co-op Group, Devondale Murray Goulburn, Warrnambool Cheese and Butter and Lion Nathan National Foods (Bega Cheese 2018).
Profitability ratio
Ratio |
Formula |
2016 |
2015 |
2014 |
Profitability ratio |
||||
Return on shareholder’s equity |
Net income / shareholder’s equity |
8.99 |
3.96 |
22.92 |
Return on total asset |
Net income / total assets |
5.05 |
2.25 |
12.03 |
Net profit margin |
Net profit / Sales *100 |
2.41 |
1.12 |
6.18 |
The profitability ratios are the financial metrics that is used by the analysts for measuring the profitability of the company with regard to creation of income. Various profitability ratios those are taken into consideration for measuring the profitability are the return on assets, return on shareholders and net profit margin (Board and Skrzypacz 2016). The higher ratio represents that the company is performing well through creation of revenues, returns and profits. The profitability ratios are useful while the performance of the company is analyzed and compared with the previous year’s performance.
Ratio |
Formula |
2016 |
2015 |
2014 |
Efficiency ratio |
||||
Inventory turnover |
Cost of goods sold/ average inventory |
5.38 |
5.23 |
5.48 |
Inventory turnover in days |
365/inventory turnover |
67.79 |
69.77 |
66.62 |
Settlement period for account receivable |
Credit sales/ average receivables |
9.09 |
9.84 |
10.18 |
Account receivable in days |
365/Account receivable ratio |
40.16 |
37.10 |
35.86 |
Asset turnover |
Net sales/ Average total asset |
2.10 |
2.02 |
1.95 |
Asset turnover in days |
365/asset turnover ratio |
173.82 |
180.60 |
187.36 |
The efficiency ratios are used for measuring the efficiency of the company with regard to the using its assets and managing the liabilities (Grant 2016). It calculates the receivable turnover, inventory turnover and asset turnover of the company and the time taken by the company to convert them in cash.
Ratio |
Formula |
2016 |
2015 |
2014 |
Liquidity ratio |
||||
Current ratio |
Current assets / current liabilities |
1.65 |
1.83 |
1.52 |
Quick asset ratio |
(Current assets-inventories) / current liabilities |
0.74 |
0.75 |
0.65 |
Company computes the liquidity ratios to measure its ability to make the payment of its short-term obligations with the available marketable securities and cash of the company (Nobes 2014). If the current ratio of the company is equal to more than 1 it signifies that the current asset of the company is sufficient to meet the short-term obligation of the company. If the company has continuous issues to meet its short term obligations it signals that the company is heading towards bankruptcy (Drehmann and Nikolaou 2013).
Ratio |
Formula |
2016 |
2015 |
2014 |
Gearing ratio |
||||
Debt to asset ratio |
Total debt/total assets |
44.12 |
43.40 |
42.70 |
Gearing ratio |
Non-current liabilities/ (non-current liabilities + Equity)*100 |
13.14 |
16.20 |
6.56 |
For business owners, accountants and potential investors information regarding the gearing ratio of the company play important role in taking various financial decisions like budget allocation and investment (Heikal, Khaddafi and Ummah 2014). For the investors the accurate assessment of the financial strengths of the company is made through the information regarding the strategies of the company.
Conclusion
From the above discussion it is concluded that though the profitability position of the company has been deteriorated in 2015 as compared to the year 2014, the company was able to improve the profitability during the year 2016. If the efficiency ratios of the company are taken into consideration it can be identified that the company is quite efficient in converting is assets into cash. Looking into the liquidity ratio of the company it is identified that the current ratio as well as the quick asset ratio of the company representing that the company is efficient in paying its short term obligations with the available short term assets. Further, the gearing ratio represents that the company is lower leveraged which in turn ensures that the company is sustainable over the long-term period.
References
Arkan, T., 2016. The importance of financial ratios in predicting stock price trends: A case study in emerging markets. Finanse. Rynki Finansowe, Ubezpieczenia, (1), p.79.
Bega Cheese., 2018. Home – Bega Cheese. [online] Available at: https://www.begacheese.com.au/ [Accessed 17 May 2018].
Board, S., and Skrzypacz, A., 2016. Revenue management with forward-looking buyers. Journal of Political Economy, 124(4), 1046-1087.
Brooks, R., 2015. Financial management: core concepts. Pearson.
?ermák, P., 2015. Customer profitability analysis and customer life time value models: Portfolio analysis. Procedia Economics and Finance, 25, 14-25.
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Drehmann, M., and Nikolaou, K., 2013. Funding liquidity risk: definition and measurement. Journal of Banking and Finance, 37(7), 2173-2182.
Grant, R.M., 2016. Contemporary strategy analysis: Text and cases edition. John Wiley and Sons.
Heikal, M., Khaddafi, M., and Ummah, A., 2014. Influence analysis of return on assets (ROA), return on equity (ROE), net profit margin (NPM), debt to equity ratio (DER), and current ratio (CR), against corporate profit growth in automotive in Indonesia Stock Exchange. International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, 4(12), 101.
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Jones, C., and Kulish, M., 2013. Long-term interest rates, risk premia and unconventional monetary policy. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 37(12), 2547-2561.
Luez, C. and Wysocki, P., 2016. Economic Consequences of Financial Reporting and Disclosure Regulation: A Review and Suggestions for Future Research. J. Acct. and Econ., 50, p.525.
Nobes, C., 2014. International Classification of Financial Reporting 3e. Routledge.
Prasetyorini, B. F. 2013. Pengaruh ukuran perusahaan, leverage, price earnings ratio dan profitabilitas terhadap nilai perusahaan. Jurnal Ilmu Manajemen, 1(1), 183-196.
Scott, W.R., 2015. Financial accounting theory (Vol. 2, No. 0, p. 0). Prentice Hall.
Sunder, S., 2016. Rethinking financial reporting: standards, norms and institutions. Foundations and Trends® in accounting, 11(1–2), pp.1-118.
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